As discussed on a recent episode of the Thinking Basketball podcast, there’s been a lot of talk about the importance of “winning” when it comes to MVP voting (and even All-NBA) this season. With the regular season behind us, for posterity, I’ve compiled the team records for every candidate in games said candidate has appeared in.
Additionally I’ve added a column called “OnWins,” which is the record for each player based on his individual plus-minus in a game. (Shoutout to realgm’s Doctor MJ for creating this.) In other words, if the player finished with a positive plus-minus in the game, he is credited for a “win” individually, because his team won his minutes for that game. Here are the 13 candidates from the latest ESPN straw poll:
Player | In Wins | In Losses | Win% Pace in lineup | Win% Pace Out line | Win% change | OnWins | OnLosses | OnWin % |
Devin Booker | 56 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 49 | 19 | 72.1% |
Chris Paul | 53 | 12 | 67 | 53 | 14 | 45 | 19 | 69.2% |
Jayson Tatum | 49 | 27 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 54 | 22 | 71.1% |
Nikola Jokic | 46 | 28 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 50 | 20 | 67.6% |
Giannis Antetokounmpo | 45 | 22 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 44 | 23 | 65.7% |
Joel Embiid | 45 | 23 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 45 | 22 | 66.2% |
Steph Curry | 45 | 19 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 44 | 18 | 68.8% |
Luka Doncic | 44 | 21 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 38 | 27 | 58.5% |
DeMar DeRozan | 43 | 33 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 43 | 32 | 56.6% |
Trae Young | 40 | 36 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 | 33 | 55.3% |
Ja Morant | 36 | 21 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 35 | 21 | 61.4% |
Kevin Durant | 36 | 19 | 54 | 24 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 65.5% |
LeBron James | 25 | 31 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 24 | 30 | 42.9% |
Disclaimer: Again, I’m posting this for people who like to reference “team success” for individual awards. This should not be an end-point in individual player analysis if you are trying to determine how much impact or value a player has. In order to do that with this data, you should also try to account for teammates who are in or out of lineups, opponent quality, role, and so on, to say nothing of using on/off, adjusted plus-minus data, or hybrid metrics that combine this with box score factors in order to help determine impact, value, and/or winning. /disclaimer
Finally, I should note that the leader in Wins and OnWins this season was Mikal Bridges, with 64 wins and 62 OnWins, 17 OnLosses and 3 ties. Here’s the full podcast episode:
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